While internally Conflicts fights, according to a recent survey, the AfD is losing approval from voters. In the RTL / ntv trend barometer published by the Forsa polling institute on Saturday, the AfD only gets 8 percent. That is one percentage point less than in the previous week. In the Bundestag election 2017 the party had still achieved 12.6 percent.
The exclusion of the Brandenburg faction leader Andreas Kalbitz from the party is currently causing controversy in the AfD leadership. Kalbitz is using legal means to oppose the exclusion from the party; in the meantime, he has applied for temporary legal protection at the Berlin Regional Court. Bundestag faction leader Alexander Gauland is critical of Kalbitz’s expulsion. AfD chief Jörg Meuthen considers the Kalbitz case with the decision of the Federal Arbitration Court as “closed within the party”.
The other parties were able to keep the approval values from the previous week in the RTL / ntv trend barometer. The Union comes to 38 percent, the SPD to 14 percent. The Greens could currently count on 18 percent of the vote, the FDP with 6 and the left with 8 percent. 22 percent would not vote or are undecided.
That gave somewhat different results recently ZDF- “Politbarometer” with data from the Mannheim research group elections: When next Sunday Bundestag election would be, the Union would deteriorate by one point to 38 percent, according to the poll published on Friday. The SPD would also give a point and would get 14 percent. The Greens improve by one point to 21 percent. The AfD would come back to nine percent, the FDP would remain at five percent. The left has improved by one point to eight percent. The other parties together make up five percent.
More undecided and non-voters in East Germany
The current survey in the RTL / ntv trend barometer also provides detailed results on the proportion of non-voters: it is seven percentage points higher in eastern Germany (28 percent) than in western Germany. There is also a clear gap between men and women: 26 percent of women and only 18 percent of men are non-voters or undecided.
Party preference data was collected from July 27-31, 2020. 2504 people were interviewed, the statistical fault tolerance is +/- 2.5 percentage points.