Brussels has surpassed Madrid in new cases of coronavirus in relation to the population, while infections continue to escalate in Belgium, which is already the second country with the worst data in the European Union (EU), and where the possibility of a new confinement is becoming closer and closer.
The capital of Belgium This Monday reaches 759 cases per 100,000 inhabitants on average in the last 14 days, while the autonomous community of Madrid reports an incidence of the disease of 541 cases per 100,000 inhabitants in 14 days, according to regional data last Friday.
Brussels also has a positivity rate of 18%, while the average for Belgium as a whole is 10.4%, both figures much higher than the 5% that Belgian experts in recent weeks have been pointing to as worrying.
Belgium, the second worst country in the EU
According to the latest bulletin from the European Center for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC), dated October 11, Belgium accumulates a cumulative incidence per 100,000 inhabitants in 14 days of 402.5 cases, which places it as the second country with the worst records in the European Union, only surpassed by the Czech Republic (493.1) and ahead of the Netherlands (364.2), Spain (308.1), France (293 ,one).
However, according to the national bulletin published this Monday in Belgium, the cumulative incidence of the country is somewhat lower, 387 cases.
The average number of infections in Belgium now stands at 4,145 daily infections And the progression is so “alarming” that the spokesman for the Belgian inter-federal committee on the coronavirus, Yves Van Laethem, said this Monday at a press conference that it could reach 10,000 daily infections this weekend.
“Doubling the number of cases in three days is the maximum speed we do not want to reach“said Van Laethem, who in an interview on Monday morning on the station” RTL “has suggested to the political powers that they take more restrictive measures to stop the curve.
“We got our nose in partial confinement“Said the expert, whose opinion coincides with that of other experts such as the renowned virologist Marc Van Ranst, who has warned that” Belgium is heading to the world top “of the coronavirus.
Limitations approved a week ago
The Belgian Government continues to believe that the measures applied a week ago, such as limiting close contacts outside the home to 3 people, the recommendation to telework or the limitation of hours of bars and cafes, can still work, but none are ruled out option.
“I cannot guarantee that we can avoid confinement,” Health Minister Frank Vandenbroucke said about the situation, warning that “a difficult autumn” is coming.
Although the hospitalizations (125.6 daily average) and deaths (16,1) are not high in absolute terms, but their progression, with 62 and 71%, respectively.
The health system begins to suffer and “in many hospitals in Liège, Brussels and a part of Antwerp there is between 15 and 50% occupancy of intensive care beds,” said Van Laethem.
“Currently, the doubling in intensive care is every 18 days. If this increase continues, according to current models, we could reach 1,000 patients in intensive care during the month of November “added the expert.
In the worst peak of covid-19 last spring, Belgium reached “a figure of around 1,250 patients,” recalled Van Laethem, who explained that this type of medicalized beds were reinforced to achieve “a maximum of just over 2,000”, a figure that could be reached “in the coming weeks,” he warned.