MDB has competitive candidates in 6 Brazilian capitals: Maceió, Teresina, João Pessoa, Goiânia, Boa Vista and Cuiabá. In these political municipalities of the party they are ahead in the polls, either in isolation or when considering the margin of error of the studies.
The PSDB and DEM, on the other hand, lead separately in 4 cities each 1. They may have 10 million and 8 million voters under their umbrellas, respectively, as of 2021.
O Poder360 analyzed and compiled surveys released until November 5 using known methodologies and from which it was possible to verify the origin of the information. The studies were registered with the Electoral Court and are available on the internet.
The dispute is undefined in 3 of the 4 capitals in the region. The exception is Belo Horizonte: Alexandre Kalil (PSD), current mayor, can be reelected as early as November 15. It has 65% of the voting intentions.
In Curitiba and Florianópolis the dispute can be decided in the 1st round. In Porto Alegre, Manuela d’Ávila (PC do B) leads, but there is likely to be a 2nd round.
Alvaro Dias (PSDB) and Edvaldo (PDT) can be reelected in Natal and Aracaju. They are in 1st place isolated.
In Salvador, the most populous capital of the region, Bruno Reis (DEM) should be elected 1st. It is supported by ACM Neto, current mayor.
The votes are well distributed in most capitals. Only one candidate leads with more than 20 pp of advantage: Cinthia Ribeiro (PSDB). Even in this case, a 2nd shift may be necessary.
In Goiânia and Cuiabá a 2nd shift must be necessary. In Campo Grande, the current mayor, Marquinhos Trad (PSD), can be reelected as soon as 1st.
O Poder360 prepared a compelling report on the electoral situation in the 26 capitals + 70 cities with more than 200 thousand voters. read on here.
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